As we zatreschat forelocks of GoogleOS and Azure

It seems that the famous adage about fighting pans, resulting in hair follicles hurt slaves, is experiencing a new reincarnation.

At this time in the queue for hair removal inhumane way to construct simple IT industry professionals - programmers, administrators and IT managers, and will pull Google ( mostly ) and, possibly, other cloud companies, most likely, IBM, Microsoft, CISCO .

The emergence and widespread use of network operating system, above all, means a radical standardization. Now the configuration software on each computer is almost always different - someone put a toy, someone Punto Switcher, or a cunning device driver for the beloved 13- button mouse, or just different versions of drivers, databases, antivirus, etc. Dr..

In all the network operating system images running on a computer are the same. T. e. in fact it is generally an image, just a multiplier.
Programs - are only a Web browser. Or, in extreme cases, the customer terminal, which revolve on the server.

Undoubtedly, someone will want to extend the operating system. But he is unlikely to be allowed. Just for safety reasons - why let a child out of the sandbox if it is the safest place for him? .
So run, and will work effectively only the image of the network operating system (a small, fast, and even Open source), in which the checksum is approved by the top. From the top of the.

Thus, the segment of software associated with the optimization of hardware, installation and management software on client sites, games and graphics are different things - cross out.
For the console games in general, there. And by the way, the license fees for watching movies, playing games and reading books - also has not been canceled and is not going to cancel, and in a single executable and is always connected to the Internet image of the OS to implement a full control of digital rights is much easier than on a stand-alone computer .

Further, the time it turns on the Web, you have to rewrite everything on the Web. This is the theory - let existing software developers take and remake all of the web, the benefit they still have nothing to do:).

In practice, a pre- prepared positions have already been withdrawn web applications like Sales force, Google Docs ( perpetual beta, but beta at some point has to be release ), Live Docs, m. e. a full range of integrated, well-established (well -established practice, the time is still there ) applications for businesses of all sizes - all kinds of paperwork, CRM, web -based clients have all the major ERP). While you ponder, he was almost ready to debug the beta.

Therefore, the segment of small - medium-sized ERP ( here also get samopisnye stores all levels) and workflow systems - also on the way.

20-25 of the largest manufacturers of business software will divide the entire market. That there will be a soft spin on servers in the cloud - will know only the narrow, spices, and the rest will be engaged in such business, which would exclude the possibility of blogging and in my spare time treplinga. due to the lack of free time.


Now a word about the vendors and resellers. Boxes, licenses, marketing, and large offices - not needed. Need an account in the mega - ayayay tyuns. For example, of Google already has an excellent system of contextual advertising, which is being built in the new OS will not only advertise, but also will bring an unprecedented amount of information about current activities of each user to be able to offer him the right software, products and services directly . Once the user has written a letter to a friend that he can not come to the party, because he ' hemorrhagic with orders ', as advertising immediately advise him to acquire not only an ointment for hemorrhoids, but also integrated with the latest electronic version of the magazine Dynamics or Sap, which solves .

Accordingly, net of software shops will die, leaving only the wizards (such as small systems integrators - hello odinesu ).

Now Microsoft is often criticized for monopolizing. So - you have not seen this monopoly:).

As a result, the entire landscape of IT as we know it today will change.
From a business perspective comes happiness - no hairy people, no server, nikakh licenses - software arenduesh 1% of turnover (Operational eXpenses = OPEX), capital costs and no ( why pay $ 500 in advance for a lifetime license when the software can be rented for .

From an IT perspective - will not be happy:).

Completely disappear, server administrators and local networks, leaving only the experts, network and data center staff, to the ears zareglamentirovannye SLA, triple redundancy and support for manufacturing processes neprerynosti.

Moreover, 70% of the ( remaining ) specialist will work in data centers of Google and MS, and are likely to be residents of the islands - m. to. it is more convenient underwater to build data centers that do not require cooling.

' Home ' developers will disappear as a class. Anyway programmers will once again be a little - to develop a web-based system, leading companies will hire the coolest assignment and tabulation of geniuses, 100-150 thousand for the whole world, and for business programmers they are needed.

ISV ( independent of the developers ) - greatly reduced and will go to small niche. Rather, it will be some hybrids today's web agencies that rivet sites and tuners standard software.

Who else is left? . Well, I hope everyone has a second profession. I, for example, second-class turners:).

When all this happens? .


These are gloomy. I'm going to give a cat face, probably because it was the wallpaper.